Southgate Shopping Center — New Port Richey, FL

Tim Hortons ranks highest here, at the 97th percentile of the 173,178 US retail sites we track.

foodretailservices220 mapped POIs shown

The trade area

Measure	1 mi	3 mi	5 mi
Population	9,542	69,539	141,957
Households	4,129	30,709	61,579
Median household income	$42,114	$47,752	$52,763
Median age	46.6	47.1	46.4
Mapped POIs	96	340	816

Which chains this trade area resembles

Percentile is against every one of the 173,178 US retail locations we track, using that chain's own reference distribution. It measures resemblance to where the chain already locates — not a forecast of how a store would do.

10 of these chains do not operate in FL. They are marked, and still ranked, because the trade area really does resemble where they locate elsewhere — but a chain absent from an entire state usually cannot open one there. Franchise territories, distribution range and licensing stop at state lines. Treat those rows as "this site would suit them if they ever came here", not as an available tenant.

A few stray records do not count as presence: Kroger shows five Florida locations and every one is a Tom Thumb convenience store tagged under its brand, so it is marked as barely present with the counts shown.

The two numbers answer different questions. Fit at this site is how strongly this plaza resembles where that chain locates — higher is a better match. Model reliability is how well that chain's model performs in general, measured by hiding whole cities during training and checking whether it still finds the real stores there. A chain can be a strong fit here and still come from a model that is only moderately reliable; both are shown so neither is taken on faith.

Chain & model reliability	Fit at this site	Why it fits
Tim Hortons no stores in FLModel reliability unknown — only 22 Tim Hortons sites sit in the test cities, too few to judge it fairly.	97^th	Convenience share of the retail mix7.9% Auto share of the retail mix15.0% Beauty share of the retail mix1.2%
Checkers Model reliability 30% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 73 real Checkers sites and put 30% of them in its top 5%.	96^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Subway Model reliability 11% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 2381 real Subway sites and put 11% of them in its top 5%.	94^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Convenience within 1 mi6 Fast food share of the retail mix6.5%
Pizza Hut Model reliability 18% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 701 real Pizza Hut sites and put 18% of them in its top 5%.	93^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Restaurants share of the retail mix6.2% Median household income within 3 mi$47,752
Dunkin' Model reliability 7% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 857 real Dunkin' sites and put 7% of them in its top 5%.	93^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Median household income within 5 mi$52,763 Restaurants share of the retail mix6.2%
Arby's Model reliability 17% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 499 real Arby's sites and put 17% of them in its top 5%.	86^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median household income within 3 mi$47,752 Bars share of the retail mix3.5%
Cost Cutters barely in FL — 1 of 226 storesModel reliability 23% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 44 real Cost Cutters sites and put 23% of them in its top 5%.	84^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Pharmacy share of the retail mix3.8%
Midas Model reliability 28% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 98 real Midas sites and put 28% of them in its top 5%.	81^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind60 m Median household income within 3 mi$47,752
KFC Model reliability 10% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 706 real KFC sites and put 10% of them in its top 5%.	81^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median age within 1 mi46.6
Perkins Model reliability 40% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 42 real Perkins sites and put 40% of them in its top 5%.	77^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Lodging within 1 mi1 Home improvement share of the retail mix0.3%
Burger King Model reliability 12% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 1258 real Burger King sites and put 12% of them in its top 5%.	76^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Auto within 1 mi12
Little Caesars Model reliability 16% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 496 real Little Caesars sites and put 16% of them in its top 5%.	76^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Median household income within 3 mi$47,752 Bars share of the retail mix3.5%
Meineke Model reliability 7% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 42 real Meineke sites and put 7% of them in its top 5%.	74^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind60 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m
Circle K Model reliability 25% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 2050 real Circle K sites and put 25% of them in its top 5%.	74^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Fast food share of the retail mix6.5% Distance to a motorway2 m
Dutch Bros. Coffee Model reliability 37% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 245 real Dutch Bros. Coffee sites and put 37% of them in its top 5%.	70^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Bars share of the retail mix3.5% Coffee share of the retail mix1.2%
Popeyes Model reliability 15% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 410 real Popeyes sites and put 15% of them in its top 5%.	70^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Median age within 5 mi46.4 Auto within 1 mi12
7-Eleven Model reliability 30% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 1550 real 7-Eleven sites and put 30% of them in its top 5%.	68^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Convenience within 3 mi27 Median age within 5 mi46.4
Wendy's Model reliability 12% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 987 real Wendy's sites and put 12% of them in its top 5%.	67^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Hooters Model reliability 37% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 46 real Hooters sites and put 37% of them in its top 5%.	65^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Lodging within 1 mi1 Restaurants share of the retail mix6.2%
Taco Bell Model reliability 12% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 1319 real Taco Bell sites and put 12% of them in its top 5%.	65^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m
Caribou Coffee no stores in FLModel reliability unknown — only 19 Caribou Coffee sites sit in the test cities, too few to judge it fairly.	63^th	Pharmacy share of the retail mix3.8% Bars share of the retail mix3.5% Median age within 5 mi46.4
Valvoline Model reliability 18% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 159 real Valvoline sites and put 18% of them in its top 5%.	61^th	Median household income within 3 mi$47,752 Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind60 m
Burlington Model reliability 31% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 191 real Burlington sites and put 31% of them in its top 5%.	56^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Big box within 1 mi2
Del Taco barely in FL — 3 of 515 storesModel reliability 14% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 195 real Del Taco sites and put 14% of them in its top 5%.	51^th	Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Median household income within 3 mi$47,752 Distance to a traffic signal10 m
Publix Model reliability 43% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 653 real Publix sites and put 43% of them in its top 5%.	50^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Median age within 5 mi46.4
MOD Pizza barely in FL — 4 of 414 storesModel reliability 24% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 89 real MOD Pizza sites and put 24% of them in its top 5%.	45^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Coffee share of the retail mix1.2%
First Watch Model reliability 14% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 72 real First Watch sites and put 14% of them in its top 5%.	43^th	Convenience share of the retail mix7.9% Median age within 5 mi46.4 Fast food share of the retail mix6.5%
Walmart Model reliability 55% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 1304 real Walmart sites and put 55% of them in its top 5%.	42^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Businesses of the same kind within 3 mi8
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Model reliability 19% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 107 real Tropical Smoothie Cafe sites and put 19% of them in its top 5%.	41^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Convenience share of the retail mix7.9%
Sonic Model reliability 25% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 473 real Sonic sites and put 25% of them in its top 5%.	39^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median age within 5 mi46.4 Bars within 5 mi14
Cinnabon Model reliability 43% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 46 real Cinnabon sites and put 43% of them in its top 5%.	37^th	Apparel within 1 mi0 Distance to a traffic signal10 m Apparel within 3 mi0
Wawa Model reliability 14% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 228 real Wawa sites and put 14% of them in its top 5%.	37^th	Median household income within 5 mi$52,763 Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m
Massage Envy Model reliability 24% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 104 real Massage Envy sites and put 24% of them in its top 5%.	36^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Beauty within 1 mi0 Distance to a traffic signal10 m
Edible Arrangements Model reliability 20% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 50 real Edible Arrangements sites and put 20% of them in its top 5%.	34^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Beauty within 1 mi0 Restaurants within 1 mi6
Firehouse Subs Model reliability 18% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 164 real Firehouse Subs sites and put 18% of them in its top 5%.	34^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Fast food share of the retail mix6.5% Fast food within 1 mi7
Anytime Fitness Model reliability 23% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 210 real Anytime Fitness sites and put 23% of them in its top 5%.	32^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a primary road1.7 km
Sport Clips Model reliability 17% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 176 real Sport Clips sites and put 17% of them in its top 5%.	32^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Medical within 1 mi24
Jiffy Lube Model reliability 25% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 285 real Jiffy Lube sites and put 25% of them in its top 5%.	32^th	Median household income within 5 mi$52,763 Distance to a motorway2 m Pharmacy share of the retail mix3.8%
Panera Bread Model reliability 15% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 335 real Panera Bread sites and put 15% of them in its top 5%.	31^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m
Orangetheory Fitness Model reliability 15% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 116 real Orangetheory Fitness sites and put 15% of them in its top 5%.	30^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Median age within 1 mi46.6 Beauty share of the retail mix1.2%
El Pollo Loco no stores in FLModel reliability 18% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 206 real El Pollo Loco sites and put 18% of them in its top 5%.	29^th	Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Distance to a traffic signal10 m Fast food share of the retail mix6.5%
Texas Roadhouse Model reliability 35% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 108 real Texas Roadhouse sites and put 35% of them in its top 5%.	29^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Home improvement share of the retail mix0.3% Distance to a motorway2 m
Snap Fitness Model reliability 53% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 49 real Snap Fitness sites and put 53% of them in its top 5%.	28^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Distance to a motorway2 m Bars share of the retail mix3.5%
Panda Express Model reliability 9% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 565 real Panda Express sites and put 9% of them in its top 5%.	28^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median age within 1 mi46.6 Fast food within 1 mi7
Pure Barre Model reliability unknown — only 29 Pure Barre sites sit in the test cities, too few to judge it fairly.	26^th	Restaurants share of the retail mix6.2% Distance to the nearest business of the same kind218 m Fitness share of the retail mix1.2%
Chick-fil-A Model reliability 15% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 503 real Chick-fil-A sites and put 15% of them in its top 5%.	25^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Home improvement within 1 mi0 Fast food within 1 mi7
IHOP Model reliability 17% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 315 real IHOP sites and put 17% of them in its top 5%.	24^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Fast food share of the retail mix6.5% Lodging within 1 mi1
Golden Corral Model reliability 51% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 67 real Golden Corral sites and put 51% of them in its top 5%.	23^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Fast food share of the retail mix6.5% Home improvement share of the retail mix0.3%
WoodSpring Suites Model reliability 37% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 46 real WoodSpring Suites sites and put 37% of them in its top 5%.	23^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median age within 1 mi46.6 Distance to a motorway2 m
Nothing Bundt Cakes Model reliability 17% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 108 real Nothing Bundt Cakes sites and put 17% of them in its top 5%.	22^th	Restaurants within 1 mi6 Distance to a traffic signal10 m Home improvement share of the retail mix0.3%
Trader Joe's Model reliability 39% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 155 real Trader Joe's sites and put 39% of them in its top 5%.	22^th	Median household income within 3 mi$47,752 Coffee within 5 mi11 Residents with a bachelor's degree within 3 mi6,289
Round Table Pizza barely in FL — 1 of 291 storesModel reliability 16% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 62 real Round Table Pizza sites and put 16% of them in its top 5%.	22^th	Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Pharmacy within 5 mi19 Median household income within 3 mi$47,752
Kroger barely in FL — 5 of 2,367 storesModel reliability 43% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 164 real Kroger sites and put 43% of them in its top 5%.	21^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Median age within 5 mi46.4 Grocery within 5 mi19
Crunch Fitness Model reliability 15% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 53 real Crunch Fitness sites and put 15% of them in its top 5%.	21^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Apparel within 5 mi4
Five Guys Model reliability 9% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 219 real Five Guys sites and put 9% of them in its top 5%.	20^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Apparel within 1 mi0
Potbelly Model reliability 24% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 33 real Potbelly sites and put 24% of them in its top 5%.	20^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Convenience share of the retail mix7.9% Fast food share of the retail mix6.5%
Palm Beach Tan Model reliability 26% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 39 real Palm Beach Tan sites and put 26% of them in its top 5%.	20^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind2.1 km
Smoothie King Model reliability 16% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 73 real Smoothie King sites and put 16% of them in its top 5%.	18^th	Beauty within 1 mi0 Apparel share of the retail mix0.0% Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Chipotle Model reliability 13% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 589 real Chipotle sites and put 13% of them in its top 5%.	18^th	Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Restaurants share of the retail mix6.2%
Wingstop Model reliability 7% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 336 real Wingstop sites and put 7% of them in its top 5%.	18^th	Median age within 3 mi47.1 Fast food share of the retail mix6.5% Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m
Fantastic Sams Model reliability 15% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 68 real Fantastic Sams sites and put 15% of them in its top 5%.	17^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Fast food share of the retail mix6.5%
Qdoba Model reliability 22% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 58 real Qdoba sites and put 22% of them in its top 5%.	16^th	Pharmacy share of the retail mix3.8% Distance to the nearest business of the same kind450 m Median household income within 5 mi$52,763
Great Clips Model reliability 22% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 396 real Great Clips sites and put 22% of them in its top 5%.	16^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Planet Fitness Model reliability 33% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 286 real Planet Fitness sites and put 33% of them in its top 5%.	16^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median age within 5 mi46.4
F45 Training Model reliability 9% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 58 real F45 Training sites and put 9% of them in its top 5%.	15^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Median household income within 3 mi$47,752 Coffee share of the retail mix1.2%
Hobby Lobby Model reliability 33% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 152 real Hobby Lobby sites and put 33% of them in its top 5%.	14^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Big box within 1 mi2
The Home Depot Model reliability 58% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 394 real The Home Depot sites and put 58% of them in its top 5%.	14^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Home improvement share of the retail mix0.3%
Whole Foods Market Model reliability 52% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 108 real Whole Foods Market sites and put 52% of them in its top 5%.	14^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Distance to a traffic signal10 m Residents with a bachelor's degree within 1 mi788
Starbucks Model reliability 33% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 2472 real Starbucks sites and put 33% of them in its top 5%.	13^th	Businesses of the same kind within 3 mi3 Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Five Below Model reliability 47% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 184 real Five Below sites and put 47% of them in its top 5%.	12^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind413 m
European Wax Center Model reliability 28% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 61 real European Wax Center sites and put 28% of them in its top 5%.	11^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Distance to the nearest business of the same kind2.1 km Distance to a traffic signal10 m
McDonald's Model reliability 21% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 2607 real McDonald's sites and put 21% of them in its top 5%.	9^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind865 m
HomeGoods Model reliability 45% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 123 real HomeGoods sites and put 45% of them in its top 5%.	9^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Marshalls Model reliability 35% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 187 real Marshalls sites and put 35% of them in its top 5%.	8^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind413 m
Aldi Model reliability 29% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 146 real Aldi sites and put 29% of them in its top 5%.	6^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Fitness share of the retail mix1.2%
Wienerschnitzel no stores in FLModel reliability 12% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 89 real Wienerschnitzel sites and put 12% of them in its top 5%.	6^th	Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Median age within 5 mi46.4 Fast food share of the retail mix6.5%
TJ Maxx Model reliability 43% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 191 real TJ Maxx sites and put 43% of them in its top 5%.	6^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Median age within 5 mi46.4
Costco Model reliability 37% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 398 real Costco sites and put 37% of them in its top 5%.	6^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Median household income within 3 mi$47,752
Best Buy Model reliability 37% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 195 real Best Buy sites and put 37% of them in its top 5%.	6^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Apparel within 1 mi0
Ulta Beauty Model reliability 45% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 196 real Ulta Beauty sites and put 45% of them in its top 5%.	5^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Big box within 1 mi2
Ross Dress for Less Model reliability 43% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 386 real Ross Dress for Less sites and put 43% of them in its top 5%.	5^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to the nearest business of the same kind413 m
Target Model reliability 30% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 431 real Target sites and put 30% of them in its top 5%.	5^th	Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a traffic signal10 m Apparel within 1 mi0
Jamba Model reliability 25% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 194 real Jamba sites and put 25% of them in its top 5%.	3^th	Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Coffee within 1 mi1 Median household income within 1 mi$42,114
Club Pilates Model reliability 23% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 60 real Club Pilates sites and put 23% of them in its top 5%.	2^th	Median household income within 1 mi$42,114 Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Beauty within 1 mi0
Big O Tires no stores in FLModel reliability 21% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 87 real Big O Tires sites and put 21% of them in its top 5%.	2^th	Coffee share of the retail mix1.2% Convenience share of the retail mix7.9% Pharmacy share of the retail mix3.8%
Lowe's Model reliability 53% — in cities it had never seen, it ranked 322 real Lowe's sites and put 53% of them in its top 5%.	2^th	Distance to a traffic signal10 m Distance to a motorway2 m Distance to a primary road1.7 km

What this does not tell you

Absence is not failure. A chain missing from this area may mean untapped demand — or that the site was evaluated and rejected for reasons this data cannot see: a ground lease, a franchisee territory, a bad parcel. The model finds resemblance, not verdicts.
We track 41 chains. For many sites the honest answer is a regional chain not covered here.
These are locations, not outcomes. We have no revenue or store-closure data, so nothing here says a site will perform well — only that its trade area resembles the ones a chain already chose.

This link is stable. Send plaza.kargin-utkin.com/plazas/southgate-shopping-center to anyone — it will show this same report.